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Nate Silver's 2024 election model is out. Currently assigning Trump a 65% chance.

1y 11mon ago by lemmy.world/u/cyd in Neoliberal@kbin.social from www.natesilver.net

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

This exact poll had me very worried before last night’s debate.

Now, I am concerned it’ll get even worse.

Also, kbin.social has been down for a few weeks now. Personally, I’ve been posting over at c/neoliberal@lemmy.world and the lemmy.world admins were kind enough to grant me mod status over there.

Ernest is having some health issues, but has stated he plans to turn the instance over to someone else in the future. I am not sure when exactly that will happen, but until then I am guessing kbin.social (and m/Neoliberal@kbin.social) will continue to be inaccessible and not federating.