Australia is facing an El Niño. Experts say it won't be a 'super' event
4d 19h ago by leminal.space/u/okwithmydecay in environment@aussie.zone from www.sbs.com.au
not gonna get any headlines like that
meanwhile i saw a few days ago
El Niño under way and threatens weather extremes, scientists say
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c75ylx7g00xo
edit: ah they quoted it
What is a 'super El Niño'?
On 2 June, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) announced the formation of an El Niño.
Less than a week later, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that there's a 63 per cent chance the El Niño event would become "very strong".
Identifying an El Niño depends on sea surface temperatures.
While some scientists define an El Niño as a temperature anomaly of 0.5 degrees Celsius above average, Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) defines an El Niño as 0.8 degrees Celsius above average.
For a super or extreme El Niño, sea surface temperature would be at least 2 to 2.5 degrees Celsius warmer than average.
The last super El Niño reported was in 2015.
I'm happy it won't be a 'super' event. I still recoil from the memories of the Black Summer fires...