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Australia is facing an El Niño. Experts say it won't be a 'super' event

4d 19h ago by leminal.space/u/okwithmydecay in environment@aussie.zone from www.sbs.com.au

not gonna get any headlines like that

meanwhile i saw a few days ago

El Niño under way and threatens weather extremes, scientists say

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c75ylx7g00xo

edit: ah they quoted it

What is a 'super El Niño'?

On 2 June, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) announced the formation of an El Niño.

Less than a week later, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that there's a 63 per cent chance the El Niño event would become "very strong".

Identifying an El Niño depends on sea surface temperatures.

While some scientists define an El Niño as a temperature anomaly of 0.5 degrees Celsius above average, Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) defines an El Niño as 0.8 degrees Celsius above average.

For a super or extreme El Niño, sea surface temperature would be at least 2 to 2.5 degrees Celsius warmer than average.

The last super El Niño reported was in 2015.

I'm happy it won't be a 'super' event. I still recoil from the memories of the Black Summer fires...